Immigration Watch International (2): Immigration: Why Australia can never build enough homes

Friday, April 21, 2023

Immigration: Why Australia can never build enough homes

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) on Wednesday released capital city population data for the 2020-21 financial year, which revealed that the number of people living in capital cities increased by 2.5 million (17%) between 2011 and 2021.

Melbourne had the largest increase (806,800), followed by Sydney (650,815) and Brisbane (421,491):

10-year population change

Over the past 20 years, Australia’s combined capital cities grew by 4.7 million people, led by Melbourne (1.48 million), Sydney (1.16 million), Brisbane (875,000) and Perth (737,000):

20-year population change

If anybody wants to know why Australia never builds enough homes, the above data provides the answer.

Australia’s immigration intake was increased substantially in the early-2000s, which drove a massive increase in population growth into our major cities:

Net overseas migration

This extreme immigration policy is projected to continue for decades to come, with the Intergenerational Report (IGR) projecting 235,000 annual net overseas migration into eternity, which is 20,000 more than the extreme immigration experienced in the 15 years leading up to the pandemic.

In turn, the IGR projected that Australia’s population would swell by 13.1 million people (roughly 50%) by 2061, which is the equivalent to adding a combined Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane to Australia’s current population.

Already, net overseas migration has rebounded faster than the IGR projected, with nearly 400,000 net migrants landing in 2022, which drove record population growth:

Australian population change

The long-term population projections from the ABS are instructive. While they were released in 2018 and 2019 before the pandemic hit, they show the type of population deluge that will hit our major cities.

First, the ABS’ Household and Family Projections showed that the number of households across our capital cities would grow by 50% between 2016 and 2041, led by Melbourne:

Increase in households

In number terms, Melbourne was projected to add 1.09 million households over that period, whereas Sydney would add 882,000 and Brisbane 445,000:

Household projections

The ABS’ Population Projections released in 2018 projected that Melbourne and Sydney would each roughly double in size to around 10 million people, whereas Brisbane would grow to Melbourne’s size currently:

Capital city population projects

In turn, by 2066 both Sydney and Melbourne would have larger populations than Australia’s total population in 1950, with both approaching Australia’s total population in 1960.

While these projections will have changed following COVID, they do illustrate the extent of the population-housing problem.

Policy makers and developers can bang on all they like about increasing supply, but Australia will never build enough homes as long as it continues to grow its population like a science experiment via mass immigration.

That is the inconvenient truth.

https://www.macrobusiness.com.au/2023/04/why-australia-can-never-build-enough-homes/

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My other blogs. Main ones below:

http://edwatch.blogspot.com (EDUCATION WATCH)

http://dissectleft.blogspot.com (DISSECTING LEFTISM)

http://antigreen.blogspot.com (GREENIE WATCH)

http://pcwatch.blogspot.com (POLITICAL CORRECTNESS WATCH)

http://australian-politics.blogspot.com/ (AUSTRALIAN POLITICS)

http://awesternheart.blogspot.com.au/ (THE PSYCHOLOGIST)

http://jonjayray.com/blogall.html More blogs

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Background

Postings from Brisbane, Australia by John Ray (M.A.; Ph.D.) -- former member of the Australia-Soviet Friendship Society, former anarcho-capitalist and former member of the British Conservative party.

Why is "La Raza" the one Spanish term that is NEVER translated in the American mass media? Because translating it would make it a lot less respectable. It means "THE RACE" -- The mixed Hispanic "race" of Mexico. Racism is fine South of the Rio Grande only, apparently.

The "line" of this blog is that immigration should be SELECTIVE. That means that:

1). A national government should be in control of it. The U.S. and U.K. governments are not but the Australian government has shown that the government of a prosperous Western country can be. Up until its loss of office in 2007, the conservative Howard government had all but eliminated illegal immigration. The present Leftist government has however restarted the flow of illegals by repealing many of the Howard government regulations.

2). Selectivity should be based on "the content of a man's character, not on the color of his skin", as MLK said. To expand that a little: Immigrants should only be accepted if they as individuals seem likely to make a positive net contribution to the country. Many "refugees" would fail that test: Muslims and Africans particularly. Educational level should usually be a pretty fair proxy for the individual's likely value to the receiving country. There will, of course, be exceptions but it is nonetheless unlikely that a person who has not successfully completed High School will make a net positive contribution to a modern Western society.

3). Immigrants should be neither barred NOR ACCEPTED solely because they are of some particular ethnic origin. Blacks are vastly more likely to be criminal than are whites or Chinese, for instance, but some whites and some Chinese are criminal. It is the criminality that should matter, not the race.

4). The above ideas are not particularly blue-sky. They roughly describe the policies of the country where I live -- Australia. I am critical of Australian policy only insofar as the "refugee" category for admission is concerned. All governments have tended to admit as refugees many undesirables. It seems to me that more should be required of them before refugees are admitted -- for instance a higher level of education or a business background.

5). Perhaps the most amusing assertion in the immigration debate is that high-income countries like the USA and Britain NEED illegal immigrants to do low-paid menial work. "Who will pick our crops?" (etc.) is the cry. How odd it is then that Australians get all the normal services of a modern economy WITHOUT illegal immigrants! Yes: Before the pandemic, you usually COULD buy a lettuce in Australia for a dollar or thereabouts. And Australia IS a major exporter of primary products.

6). I am a libertarian conservative so I reject the "open door" policy favoured by many libertarians and many Leftists. Both those groups tend to have a love of simplistic generalizations that fail to deal with the complexity of the real world. It seems to me that if a person has the right to say whom he/she will have living with him/her in his/her own house, so a nation has the right to admit to living among them only those individuals whom they choose.

I can be reached on jonjayray@hotmail.com -- or leave a comment on any post. Abusive comments will be deleted.

Immigration Watch International (2)

Friday, April 21, 2023

Immigration: Why Australia can never build enough homes

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