Immigration Watch International (2): Impact of Immigration on U.S. Population Growth

Tuesday, April 4, 2023

Impact of Immigration on U.S. Population Growth

A new analysis of Census Bureau data by the Center for Immigration Studies examines immigration’s impact on U.S. population growth over the last 20 years. The report finds that immigration accounts for an increasing share of population growth in recent years, primarily due to very high levels of immigration coupled with a decline in natural increase among U.S. residents.

Steven Camarota, the Center’s director of research and co-author of the report, said, “Legal and illegal immigration have added roughly 15 million people to the U.S. population in the last decade. This clearly has important implications for issues Americans care about, like the environment and congestion. The key question for policymakers and the public is whether this should be allowed to continue at this pace.”

Among the findings:

Over the last two decades, immigration’s share of population growth has tended to increase.

The net migration of immigrants (legal and illegal) plus births to immigrants once in the United States added 6.7 million to the U.S. population between 2016 and 2021.

The 6.7 million immigrants added to the country between 2016 and 2021 was equal to three-fourths of the total increase in the population over this time period.

Partly as a result of the ongoing border crisis between 2021 and 2022, net international migration by itself accounted for 80 percent of U.S. population growth, based on Census Bureau estimates.

Immigration’s growing role in population growth is due to very high levels of immigration coupled with a decline in natural increase – births minus deaths among U.S. residents.

The decline in natural increase is due in part to a long-term increase in mortality from “deaths of despair” (e.g. suicide and overdoses), rising obesity, and population aging. Covid, and its associated social disruptions, also caused a further steep rise in 2021 and 2022 of roughly 600,000 each year.

The long-term decline in natural increase is also attributable to a significant falloff in births among both the U.S.-born and immigrants since the Great Recession in 2008. The U.S. has seemingly entered a period of lower fertility, at least for the foreseeable future.

Births may rise somewhat in 2023 — they did some in 2022 — as uncertainty associated with Covid recedes. Deaths should also fall with the ending of the pandemic.

Despite the expected upturn in natural increase, immigration will continue to drive U.S. population in the future absent a change in policy.

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http://edwatch.blogspot.com (EDUCATION WATCH)

http://dissectleft.blogspot.com (DISSECTING LEFTISM)

http://antigreen.blogspot.com (GREENIE WATCH)

http://pcwatch.blogspot.com (POLITICAL CORRECTNESS WATCH)

http://australian-politics.blogspot.com/ (AUSTRALIAN POLITICS)

http://awesternheart.blogspot.com.au/ (THE PSYCHOLOGIST)

http://jonjayray.com/blogall.html More blogs

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Background

Postings from Brisbane, Australia by John Ray (M.A.; Ph.D.) -- former member of the Australia-Soviet Friendship Society, former anarcho-capitalist and former member of the British Conservative party.

Why is "La Raza" the one Spanish term that is NEVER translated in the American mass media? Because translating it would make it a lot less respectable. It means "THE RACE" -- The mixed Hispanic "race" of Mexico. Racism is fine South of the Rio Grande only, apparently.

The "line" of this blog is that immigration should be SELECTIVE. That means that:

1). A national government should be in control of it. The U.S. and U.K. governments are not but the Australian government has shown that the government of a prosperous Western country can be. Up until its loss of office in 2007, the conservative Howard government had all but eliminated illegal immigration. The present Leftist government has however restarted the flow of illegals by repealing many of the Howard government regulations.

2). Selectivity should be based on "the content of a man's character, not on the color of his skin", as MLK said. To expand that a little: Immigrants should only be accepted if they as individuals seem likely to make a positive net contribution to the country. Many "refugees" would fail that test: Muslims and Africans particularly. Educational level should usually be a pretty fair proxy for the individual's likely value to the receiving country. There will, of course, be exceptions but it is nonetheless unlikely that a person who has not successfully completed High School will make a net positive contribution to a modern Western society.

3). Immigrants should be neither barred NOR ACCEPTED solely because they are of some particular ethnic origin. Blacks are vastly more likely to be criminal than are whites or Chinese, for instance, but some whites and some Chinese are criminal. It is the criminality that should matter, not the race.

4). The above ideas are not particularly blue-sky. They roughly describe the policies of the country where I live -- Australia. I am critical of Australian policy only insofar as the "refugee" category for admission is concerned. All governments have tended to admit as refugees many undesirables. It seems to me that more should be required of them before refugees are admitted -- for instance a higher level of education or a business background.

5). Perhaps the most amusing assertion in the immigration debate is that high-income countries like the USA and Britain NEED illegal immigrants to do low-paid menial work. "Who will pick our crops?" (etc.) is the cry. How odd it is then that Australians get all the normal services of a modern economy WITHOUT illegal immigrants! Yes: Before the pandemic, you usually COULD buy a lettuce in Australia for a dollar or thereabouts. And Australia IS a major exporter of primary products.

6). I am a libertarian conservative so I reject the "open door" policy favoured by many libertarians and many Leftists. Both those groups tend to have a love of simplistic generalizations that fail to deal with the complexity of the real world. It seems to me that if a person has the right to say whom he/she will have living with him/her in his/her own house, so a nation has the right to admit to living among them only those individuals whom they choose.

I can be reached on jonjayray@hotmail.com -- or leave a comment on any post. Abusive comments will be deleted.

Immigration Watch International (2)

Tuesday, April 4, 2023

Impact of Immigration on U.S. Population Growth

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