Tuesday, April 23, 2013


Winners & Losers from Immigration

As the Senate today begins considering legislation to amnesty the illegal population and substantially increase future immigration, it's important to keep in mind the effects this would have on the economic position of American workers.

Below is a graphical representation of numbers drawn from a recent Center for Immigration Studies Backgrounder, "Immigration and the American Worker: A Review of the Academic Literature", by Harvard Professor George Borjas, who is generally recognized as the nation's leading immigration economist. They show only the non-fiscal economic impacts of international migration. Were tax and welfare balances to be shown, the picture would be even more dramatic, since immigrants are, on average, a low-income population.



For more information on Senate bill S.744 visit here

The above is a press release from from Center for Immigration Studies. 1522 K St. NW, Suite 820,  Washington, DC 20005, (202) 466-8185 fax: (202) 466-8076.  Email: center@cis.org. Contact: Marguerite Telford, 202-466-8185, mrt@cis.org.  The Center for Immigration Studies is an independent research institution which examines the impact of immigration on the United States.  The Center for Immigration Studies is not affiliated with any other organization





350,000 Bulgarians and Romanians 'looking for work in the UK

Nearly 350,000 Romanians and Bulgarians could be looking for work in the UK, a new poll has suggested.

Research for the BBC has found that 1 per cent of working age Romanians and 4.2 per cent of Bulgarians said they are currently looking for work in the UK in 2013 or 2014.

Work restrictions on people coming to the UK from the two countries are lifted from the end of the year, prompting concerns of a major influx of migrants to this country.

The BBC polled 1,000 people each in the two countries earlier this year and found that large numbers of people are considering leaving their homes for the UK in the next two years.

In Romania there are around 15.3million people of working age, meaning that the 1 per cent considering moving to the UK equates to around 153,000 people.

In Bulgaria there are around 4.67million people of working age, meaning that according to the BBC statistics, more than 196,000 could be considering moving to the UK to find a job.

According to the survey, however, far fewer Romanians and Bulgarians would actually end up coming to the UK.

The poll found that seven in ten of the Romanians who are thinking about moving to live in Britain would reconsider in the light of the restrictions to benefits being proposed by the Coalition.

The survey also said that of those saying they were considering coming to the UK, just 1.2 per cent of Bulgarians and 0.4 per cent of Romanians has indicated that they had started making concrete plans.

Large numbers also said they would only move to the UK if they had an offer of work from a UK company.

The survey found that when all of those polled were asked to pick their first choice of EU country to move to, 4.6 per cent of Romanians and 9.3 per cent of Bulgarians chose the UK.

According to a British Labour Force sample survey, there are currently 26,000 Bulgarians and 80,000 Romanians living in the UK.

Earlier this month study by the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (Niesr), a research group, found the number of Romanians and Bulgarians who will come to live in this country next year is “not possible to predict”.

However, it also signalled that Britain is woefully unprepared for the ending of migration restrictions at the end of this year.

The report suggested that any influx of Romanians and Bulgarians could put a strain on schools and be made worse by the economic crisis in Italy and Spain.

The Foreign Office insisted the report showed that there was “no reason at all to panic” about the lifting of the restrictions on Romanians and Bulgarians from December 31.

Niesr was asked by the Foreign Office to examine the “potential impact” of migration from Romania and Bulgaria, who joined the European Union on 1 January 2007. Despite being paid £30,000 of public money and drawing on more than 100 research works, Niesr was not explicitly asked to produce any estimates of how many people might come to the UK.

However the same think tank suggested in 2011 that around 21,000 immigrants from Romania and Bulgaria a year - substantially more than the 13,000 a year predicted in a report for the last Labour government - will come here last year.

Earlier this year Migration Watch, a thinktank which has a good record of forecasting migration, published figures suggesting that 50,000 a year Romanians and Bulgarians will come here, although others suggest this estimate is too high.

Philip Hollobone, Conservative MP for Kettering, said: “The reality is that nobody has any clear idea about how many people will come to the UK from Romania and Bulgaria.

“The BBC figures only have to be a little bit out for the numbers to be huge and significant. The British public feel hugely let down that the Government has not published any meaningful statistics on possible numbers.”

SOURCE

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